A solid week 12 sees my record continue to quietly grow more
respectable. We’re nearing the point in the season now where all eyes are
firmly fixed on those wildcard spots, and this week’s games could go a long way
towards deciding who is destined for a shot at post-season glory and who will
fade into mediocrity.
Week 12 =
11-5
Overall = 113-64
Thursday Night:
Saints @
Falcons
Very tasty Thursday night NFC South match-up. The Saints just got
beat by the 49ers whereas the Falcons just managed to squeeze past the Buccs by
the narrowest of margins. New Orleans have already beaten Atlanta once this season and
it genuinely is a must-win for them to keep their playoff dreams alive. They
will want it more.
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Coverage Prediction: Saints by 3
Sunday First Wave:
Jaguars @
Bills
The Henne-led Jags are a different beast than when Gabbert has the
reigns, and with that in mind I like them to make this a close game. I still
expect the Bills to win though, as despite a loss at fortress Indy they are a
threat to any team.
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Coverage Prediction: Bills by 6
Seahawks @
Bears
Not at all sure about this one, as the Hawks turn to jelly when
forced to leave their home, but the Bears haven't exactly been setting the
world alight recently either. Whilst I expect there to be ugly play all round (with
Seattle's pass rush turning Chicago's o-line inside out), ultimately I can't
justify picking the visitors until they show they can get it done on the road.
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Coverage Prediction: Bears by 7
Colts @
Lions
Interesting one, as the Lions have narrowly lost their last 2
games at home to strong opponents, but the Colts have typically struggled on
the road this year. I'll take the home side, but wouldn’t put it past Luck to
spring the upset.
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Coverage Prediction: Lions by 7
Vikings @
Packers
With both teams coming off big losses this one could get
interesting. Whilst the Vikings aren't mathematically out of the race, I like
Green Bay to win here and potentially close the gap on Chicago in the race for
the NFC North crown.
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Coverage Prediction: Packers by 10
Panthers @
Chiefs
Not too difficult a choice for me here. Both teams are done for
2012, but the Panthers are showing a lot more promise coming off a decent win
over Philly, whereas the Chiefs are struggling to find any kind of identity
(other than that of a team that enjoys turning the ball over at every
opportunity).
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Coverage Prediction: Panthers by 7
Patriots @
Dolphins
Miami just narrowly beat Seattle, but given the Pats demolition of
the Jets and the fact the Dolphins main strength is their run D (something New
England won't be too concerned about), I'll back the visitors to make it two
AFC East road conquests on the trot.
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Coverage Prediction: Patriots by 14
Cardinals
@ Jets
Arizona just (badly) lost to St. Louis... but the Jets just got
torn limb from limb at home, and hopefully after that performance Arizona will realise
Lindley is not the answer. Whoever they start at QB, the Jets don't have anyone
better (sorry Teebs).
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Coverage Prediction: Cards by 3
49ers @
Rams
The Rams put in a strong performance vs Arizona, but I can't see
that continuing when the Niners come to town. Smith or Kaep, the 49ers should take
care of business by at least a TD.
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Coverage Prediction: 49ers by 10
Texans @
Titans
Tennessee just lost to the Jaguars... if they can handle the
Texans coming off that then I'm calling BS.
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Coverage Prediction: Texans by 14
Sunday Second Wave:
Buccaneers
@ Broncos
Interesting one as despite the narrowest of losses to Atlanta the
Buccs have looked very strong. Denver, meanwhile, struggled slightly more than
anticipated in beating Kansas City. Despite this I'm going to back Manning to grab
another win, especially at home.
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Coverage Prediction: Broncos by 10
Bengals @
Chargers
Another tough one, as the Chargers lose a heart-breaker in OT to
the Ravens (I don’t want to see that 4th and 29 play ever again),
whereas the Bengals take down the flailing Raiders at home. San Diego have to
win to retain any hope of the
playoffs, and fittingly the Bengals are one of their rivals in a relatively
weak AFC. The smart money is on Cincy in this one, but I’m going to throw
caution to the wind and pin one last forlorn hope on SD winning a game.
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Coverage Prediction: Chargers by 3
Steelers @
Ravens
With huge question marks at the QB position and coming off an
embarrassingly poor loss to the Browns, I really can’t see this going any other
way than a large Baltimore victory.
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Coverage Prediction: Ravens by 10
Browns @
Raiders
Interesting match-up here between two of the perennial
bottom-feeders. With the Browns undergoing something of a renaissance, many
will like them to pull off the away win here. Beating Charlie Batch is all well
and good, but I see this as the sort of game either could grab. Despite that, 8
turnovers (!) and some hard running from T-Rich last week sees the Browns enter
as clear favourites in this once.
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Coverage Prediction: Browns by 6
Sunday Night:
Eagles @
Cowboys
The Eagles are a team in disarray, and have shocked the league by
releasing Jason Babin. Perhaps they are trying to send a message to their
players that things are going to change this off-season, but whatever the
reasoning I expect the Cowboys to comfortably win this one.
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Prediction: Cowboys by 7
Monday Night:
Giants @
Redskins
Tough one to call as both played at a high level last week, and
still everything to play for in the NFC East. I'll call the upset here and roll
with the Skins, as their earlier game at the Meadowlands could have gone either
way, and RG3 has thrown for two straight 4 TD games (setting a rookie record in
the process). I don’t expect 4 more here, but he could well do just enough to
squeeze by the G-Men and set the division wide open.
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Coverage Prediction: Redskins by 3
It amazes me that year after year, people underestimate the Giants down the stretch. Do people not learn? And more importantly, how can you possibly back against them after the beatdown they put on the Packers?
ReplyDeleteThey would be pretty boring predictions if I only backed the favourites every week! Not one I'm feeling very confident about but the Giants are hardly models of consistency so I can definitely see the Skins running them as close as they did @ NY earlier in the year.
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